Risk-aware dispatch for renewable assets

Every 15 minutes, the market bills your forecast error

In merchant power markets, a renewable asset promises energy a day ahead and settles the difference every fifteen minutes at the imbalance price. Forecasts miss; the imbalance bill lands anyway.

Most optimizers plan for the average forecast, so the worst hours are exactly where they lose the most.

An engine that plans what it can deliver

Not a forecast wrapper, not a rules screen: a portfolio optimizer that treats risk as a first-class input.

The algorithm the top ten percent built, in every control room

A handful of operators run their assets on dedicated quant desks. They forecast the tail, price the worst hour, and capture what their megawatts are actually worth. Everyone else runs on rules of thumb and a spreadsheet, and leaves the difference on the table every single day.

That gap was never about the mathematics. It was about the six-figure team that used to be the price of entry.

Our mission is to close it. We publish the method rather than hide it, and we ship the decision engine as software a 15 MW park can actually afford. The same discipline the largest players buy, at a price the middle of the market can pay.

Our vision is what follows: every renewable asset in Europe running at its full economic potential. The transition does not stall on technology. It stalls on economics. Clean power sold badly earns less than it should, and a project that earns less gets built less often.

Make the honest decision the profitable one, and the grid keeps building itself.

Read the Manifesto

The market does not care who you are, only whether you are right

Powerlys began with that premise. One founder, real TenneT market data, and an engine built to be judged by a single honest number: improving asset revenue by +14.0% where it counts, in euros per megawatt, on a virtual four-asset Dutch portfolio running from Brabant solar to Friesland wind.

Then, before hiring a single person, the founder did something companies usually do decades too late: he wrote a constitution. Nine articles binding the company for life, and binding him first. Merit measured in data. Every employee a shareholder. Dignity entrenched beyond even the founder's reach.

It is public, timestamped, and offered as an open example to any company that wants to copy it. We are building a hundred-year company for the energy transition, one honest number at a time.

And one thank-you belongs in this story: to Can, the friend who pointed the way at the very beginning. Some companies start with capital. This one started with good counsel.

Read the Constitution